Boise State vs San Jose State 10/16/2010

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 99% of simulations over San Jose State. Kellen Moore is averaging 270 passing yards and 3.38 TDs per simulation and Doug Martin is projected for 159 rushing yards and a 90% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 1% of simulations where San Jose State wins, Jordan La Secla averages 1.45 TD passes vs 0.9 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.43 TDs to 1.04 interceptions. Brandon Rutley averages 55 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing TDs when San Jose State wins and 45 yards and 0.19 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 100% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SJST +39.5 --- Over/Under line is 60

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